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Clinton-Feingold lead in Wisconsin Survey Poll

Posted at 8:42 AM, Oct 18, 2016
and last updated 2016-10-18 18:32:09-04

The St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute in De Pere has released it's latest poll on the presidential race in Wisconsin.

The Wisconsin survey asked 664 registered likely voters about their preference if the election were held today.

Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 39% in a four way race. 

In the Wisconsin senatorial race Democrat Russ Feingold received 52% Republican Ron Johnson received 40%.

Johnson leads the 'not sure' voters 31% to 10%.

The poll has a margin of error of +/-3.8% at the confidence level of 95%.

Details of the presidential survey:

 
On November 8th, there will be elections for the US President, Congress, the state Senate and Assembly, and local offices. Would you say that you will Definitely Vote, Probably Vote, Probably Not Vote, or Definitely Not Vote in these elections?
 
Definitely Vote ................................................................ 92%
Probably Vote ................................................................ 8%
 
If the presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote: (NAMES ROTATED)
Republican Donald Trump ...................................... 39%
Democrat Hillary Clinton ........................................ 47%
Libertarian Gary Johnson ........................................ 1%
Green Party Jill Stein ............................................. 3%
Other ................................................................ 3%
Not Sure ................................................................ 5%
Refused ................................................................ 2%
 
FOR “OTHER” Voters ONLY:
Please specify for whom you are going to vote: ________________ (open-end)
Bernie Sanders ................................................................ 62%
Darrell Castle (Constitution Party) ................................... 19%
Mickey Mouse ................................................................ 10%
None ................................................................ 10%
 
FOR GARY JOHNSON AND JILL STEIN ONLY:
If your candidate were not running, for whom would you vote?
................................................................ Of GJ Voters Of JS Voters
Republican Donald Trump ............................................. 50% 0%
Democrat Hillary Clinton ............................................... 25% 10%
Would Not Vote .............................................................. 13% 70%
Not Sure ................................................................ 13% 0%
Refused ................................................................ 0% 20%
 
FOR “NOT SURE” VOTERS ONLY
As of today, do you lean more toward:
Republican Donald Trump ............................................. 26%
Democrat Hillary Clinton ............................................... 15%
Libertarian Gary Johnson ............................................... 14%
Green Party Jill Stein ...................................................... 0%
Not Sure ................................................................ 44%
Refused ................................................................ 1%
 
How strongly are you committed to [CANDIDATE NAMED ABOVE]
Of Donald Trump Voters .................................
 
Totally Committed ......................................................... 66%
Somewhat Committed ................................................... 27%
Might Change Your Mind .............................................. 7%
 
Of Hillary Clinton Voters
Totally Committed ......................................................... 72%
Somewhat Committed ................................................... 24%
Might Change Your Mind .............................................. 4%
 
Of Gary Johnson Voters
Totally Committed ......................................................... 50%
Somewhat Committed ................................................... 25%
Might Change Your Mind .............................................. 25%
 
Of Jill Stein Voters
Totally Committed ......................................................... 86%
Somewhat Committed ................................................... 10%
Might Change Your Mind .............................................. 5%

Here are the Senatorial poll results:

Survey Information:
Random Selection, Landline and Cell Telephone Survey
Adult Wisconsin Residents - REGISTERED LIKELY VOTERS ONLY: 664
Interview Period: October 13-16, 2016
Margin of Error: +/- 3.8% at the 95% confidence level.
 
(percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding)
 
WISCONSIN SENATE RACE:
In the race for the Wisconsin senate seat, if the election were held today, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES):
 
Democrat Russ Feingold................................................. 52%
Republican Ron Johnson ................................................ 40%
Libertarian Phil Anderson ............................................... 0%
Other (vol) ................................................................ 0%
Neither, will not vote (vol) ............................................. 3%
Not Sure ................................................................ 5%
Refused ................................................................ 1%
 
OF “NOT SURE” VOTERS ONLY:
As of today, do you lean more toward Feingold or Johnson?
Russ Feingold ................................................................... 10%
Ron Johnson ...................................................................... 31%
Other ................................................................................. 0%
Don’t Know ...................................................................... 59%
Refused ............................................................................. 0
 
How strongly are you committed to [CANDIDATE NAMED ABOVE]
Of Feingold Voters:
 
Totally Committed ......................................................... 74%
Somewhat Committed ................................................... 19%
Might Change Your Mind .............................................. 7%
 
Of Johnson Voters:
 
Totally Committed ......................................................... 75%
Somewhat Committed ................................................... 21%
Might Change Your Mind .............................................. 3%
 
Of Not Sure, then Feingold support on follow-up question:
Totally Committed ......................................................... 0%
Somewhat Committed ................................................... 67%
Might Change Your Mind .............................................. 33%
 
Of Not Sure, then Johnson support on follow-up question:
Totally Committed ......................................................... 10%
Somewhat Committed ................................................... 60%
Might Change Your Mind .............................................. 30%